Ngasekupheleni kuka-2022, ivolumu yokuhamba kwimakethi ye-Bulk iya kuphinda iphinde ibuye kwaye ireyithi yempahla iya kuyeka ukuwa. Nangona kunjalo, imeko yentengiso yonyaka olandelayo isezele kukungaqiniseki. Amaxabiso kulindeleke ukuba afumane i-plummet "phantse kuluhlu lweendleko". Kubekho amaza othusayo ukusukela kwi-Chinations ephakanyisiweyo kwisiqaqango ngoDisemba. Ingqesho kwiinkampani zokuhambisa umzi-mveliso zaze zisithathu ekupheleni kukaDisemba. Iya kuthatha malunga neenyanga ezi-3-6 zemfuno yekhaya neyangaphandle yokufumana kwakhona kwisibini kwisithathu senqanaba langaphambi kobukroti.
Ukusukela kwisiqingatha sesibini sama-2022, inqanaba lokuthuthwa kwempahla liye lancipha ngalo lonke ixesha. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye neMfazwe yaseRussia Ukutyibilikisa i-Euroung yaseYurophu kunye neUnited States, idityaniswe nokugaya okucothayo, kwaye i-preight inciphile kakhulu. Ukuthunyelwa kwe-Asia ukuya kwi-US ukuya kwi-US nge-21 kaNovemba ukusuka kunyaka ongaphambili ukuya ku-1.324,600 uTeus, ukuya kwi-DamComsne, kuphando laseMelika.
Ukusukela ngoSeptemba, ukwehla komqulu we-dripight. Ukuthunyelwa kwezitya ukusuka e-Asia ukuya e-US yawa ngenyanga yesine ethe tye ngoNovemba ukusuka kunyaka wokuqala, kugxininisa kwimfuno ye-US. I-China, eyayinelona nqanaba liphezulu lokulayisha, labona i-30 pesenti yehla, inyanga yesithathu ilandelelana.
Nangona kunjalo, kuye kwakho ukungxama kwimarike yezakutsha. Umthamo weempahla we-Houlgreen ukuthunyelwa kunye nokuhanjiswa kwe-i-YAGY e-United States ubuyile kwilizwe lonke. Ukongeza kwisiphumo sokuthumela phambi komthendeleko wentwasahlobo, ukungathathi mpela kwe-china lasekhaya kukwayeyona nto iphambili.
Imakethi yehlabathi iqala ukwamkela ixesha elincinci lokuthengisa, kodwa unyaka olandelayo usenokuba ngumngeni. Ngelixa imiqondiso yokuphela kokuphela kwesantya sereyithi yempahla sivele, kunzima ukuyixela indlela eya kuba kufutshane. Kuya kuchaphazela olona tshintsho lubaluleke kakhulu kumaxabiso okuhambisa, i-IMO iMigaqo ye-I-IMObon Emkhulu iya kuqala ukusebenza, ukugxila kwehlabathi kumaza okuqhekeka.
Abathwali bempahla enkulu sele beqalisile ukwamkela izicwangciso ezahlukeneyo zokuhlangabezana nokwehla komthamo wempahla. Okokuqala, sele beqalile ukuhlengahlengisa indlela yokusebenza yendlela yendlela ekude ye-East-Yurope Empuma. Ezinye iindiza zikhethe ukudlula kwi-Suez Canakal kunye nokuPhuthisa eKapa yethemba elilungileyo kwaye emva koko iYurophu. I-Shift enjalo iya kongeza iintsuku ezili-10 kuhambo oluphakathi kweAsia naseYurophu, igcina i-Suez Tolls kwaye ihamba kancinci ihambelane nokukhutshwa kwekhabhoni. Eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu, inani leenqanawa ezifunekayo liya kunyuka, ngokungathanga ngqo kukwenza umthamo omtsha.
I-1. Ibango liya kuhlala liphantsi ngo-2023: Amaxabiso e-Searnerne aya kuhlala ephantsi kwaye aguquke
"Ixabiso lengxaki yokuphila litya kubathengi benkcitho yamandla, ekhokelela kwimfuno encinci yeempahla zentengo yengeniso. Akukho sisombululo sengxaki yehlabathi, kwaye silindele ukwehla kolwandle." UPattrik Berglund waxelelwa kwangaphambili, "utshilo, ukuba imeko yezoqoqosho iphosakele ngakumbi, inokuhlala imbi."
Kuxelwe ukuba enye inkampani yokuhambisa ithe kunzima ukuqikelela ukuphuculwa kwemarike yokuhambisa ye-bulk kunyaka olandelayo. Imakethi yekhonteyina iye yaqala kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo emva kokhwala okukhawulezileyo kwixabiso lempahla kunye nemfuno. "Ukuxela kwangaphambili imeko yeshishini iyonke kube nzima ngakumbi ebusweni bokwanda kokungaqiniseki," utshilo uNcwadi.
Wachaza izinto ezinomngcipheko: "Umzekelo, iRussia eqhubeka iRussia-Ukraine Intuthuko, ifuthe lemigaqo-nkqubo yedwa, kunye nothethathethwano lwabasebenzi kumazibuko aseSpain naseMelika. Ngaphandle koko, kukho iindawo ezintathu zenkxalabo ethile.
Ukuhla okubukhali kwirhafu yendawo: Amaxabiso eScfi Scpie aqwengelwe ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka, kwaye emva kokuphela okubukhali, kwehla i-78% ukusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari. Indlela ye-shanghai-emantla eYurophu iphantsi kweepesenti ezingama-86, kunye ne-shanghai-yaseSpain-yase-Pren-I-American-I-American-I-American-I-American indlela ye-PREU ye-PREU, i-19 ye-19 ye-1919 i-1919 i-1919 aprinta.
Izinto zinokufumana mbi ngaphezu kwabathwali. Umntu ulindele ukuba iindleko zokusebenza ukuze inyukele kwaye ingamaxabiso empahla yokuhamba ukuze aqhubeke nokunyuka kwamaxabiso enza amanani aphindwe kabini.
Kwi-finsods ngaphambili, ngaba ukuthanda ukulindeleka kwi-Q3 ukuya kwi-Q4 qhubeka ngenqanaba elinye nge-2023? "Uxinzelelo lokuthintela ukunyuka kulindeleke ukuba," Mnu Waphendula Waphendula waphendula. Inkampani inqumle uqikelelo lwe-rances kwi-Sheet yesibini yonyaka wezemali kwaye yatsho ingeniso esebenzayo ngaphezu kokuba ithelekiswa nakwesiqingatha sokuqala kunye nesibini sonyaka ophelileyo.
I-2. Amaxabiso exesha elide-amaxabiso aphantsi koxinzelelo: Amaxabiso okuhambisa aya kuqhubeka ukuqhubela phambili kwinqanaba eliphantsi
Ukongeza, kunye ne-Spottare yeSpomumung, iinkampani zokuhambisa zithi iimvumelwano zexesha elide zexesha elide ziphinde ziphinde zibeke amaxabiso asezantsi. Xa ubuzwa ukuba ngaba abathengi bayo bacele ukuncitshiswa kwamaxabiso ikhontrakthi, omnye wathi: "Xa ikhontrakthi yangoku sele iqala ukuxoxa ngokuhlaziya nabathengi."
Uhlalutsho lwe-Cheuvreux Anders R.Karlsen uthe: UAlfaliner wabheka ukuba ubalwe ukuba ingeniso yeNkampani yokuHamba kwalindelwe ukuba ifikelele phakathi kwe-30% ne-70%, esekwe kwidatha yemozulu yokuqala exelwe ziinkampani zokuhambisa.
Ukuwa kwemfuno yabathengi kuthetha ukuba abathwali ngoku "bakhuphisana nevolumu," ngokwe-Xenetica Ceo. I-Jørgen Lian, Uhlalutyo oPhezulu kwiimarike ze-DNB, uxela kwangaphambili ukuba umgca osezantsi kwimarike yesikhongozelo uya kuvavanywa ngo-2023.
NjengoJames Hookiham, uMongameli weBhunga labaPhambili lweHlabathi, ephawula ukuphononongwa qho ngekota yentengiso, ekhutshiwe kule veki:
Ixesha leposi: NgoFebwe-14 ukuya ku-2003